Polymarket market · Other
New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston
Resolved: New Mexico State won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $55K on this market since Oct 21, 87% of their buying on New Mexico State. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 3.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. New Mexico State won, with 87% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$15K and 1 lost −$1.2K: +$13K between them. Biggest win: Expert-Giant, +$5.4K on New Mexico State. Biggest loss: Spotless-Niche, −$1.2K on Sam Houston.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Today
8 settled bets Too few bets |
New Mexico State @ 59¢ | $17K | — | +$3.4K |
| Expert-Giant
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
New Mexico State @ 73¢ | $15K | — | +$5.4K |
| Imaginary-Gallery
300 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
New Mexico State @ 45¢ | $5.1K | $4.5K | — |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
383 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
New Mexico State @ 68¢ | $6.8K | — | +$3.2K |
| Favorable-Neuron
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
New Mexico State @ 73¢ | $1.2K | $1.6K | +$424 |
| Monstrous-Dew
441 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
New Mexico State @ 40¢ | $1.4K | — | +$2.1K |
| Gigantic-Someplace
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Spotless-Niche
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Sam Houston @ 58¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Cumbersome-Writer
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
New Mexico State won$41K87% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $3.9K sold
-
New Mexico State lost$4.8K10% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Sam Houston lost$1.2K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $4.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $115K | 15 | Open | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | $131K | 20 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | $173K | 16 | Open | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | $76K | 18 | Open | |
| CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5 | $81K | 4 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | $81K | 23 | Open | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $82K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $240K | 71 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?