Gigantic-Someplace
Skill vs luck
Gigantic-Someplace on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Gigantic-Someplace: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1bb9e1b03d358d1546ac04f3f14655f14e057bf4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Gigantic-Someplace: −$1.4K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- −$1.5K
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- +$102
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Hurricanes @ 50¢ | Hurricanes vs. Oilers ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | SELL New Mexico State @ 97¢ | New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | BUY BYU
@ 50¢
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) |
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Washington @ 41¢ | Minnesota vs. Washington ↗ | $1.5K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?