Polymarket market · Other

Michigan State vs. UCLA

Resolved: UCLA won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales traded $197K on this market since Oct 24, 86% of their buying on UCLA. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 7.1¢ more per share, with 59% of the size there to buy. UCLA won, with 86% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$8.0K and 4 lost −$9.7K: −$1.7K between them. Biggest win: 0xe015…6ffd, +$4.5K on UCLA. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$5.3K on UCLA.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds*
UCLA @ 89¢ $123K — −$5.3K
Corrupt-Poisoning
453 settled bets Beat the odds*
UCLA @ 83¢ $25K — −$2.8K
Narrow-Authorization
67 settled bets Worse than the odds
UCLA @ 99.85¢ $13K — +$19
0xe015…6ffd
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UCLA @ 68¢ $9.6K — +$4.5K
Ironclad-Instructor
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UCLA @ 87¢ $9.4K — +$1.4K
Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UCLA @ 86¢ $5.9K — +$964
Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UCLA @ 79¢ $4.6K — −$263
Low-Cartload
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Massive-Registry
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UCLA @ 89¢ $1.6K — +$201
Key-Capability
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UCLA @ 64¢ $1.5K — +$843
Frightened-Subsidence
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan State @ 17¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. UCLA won
    $168K
    86% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $1.9K sold
  2. Michigan State lost
    $27K
    14% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? $102K 27 Open
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? $220K 31 Open
Texas A&M vs. Alabama $277K 10 Won: Alabama
Kansas State vs. Arizona State $130K 7 Won: Arizona State
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.15M 122 Open
Tennessee vs. South Carolina $117K 20 Won: South Carolina
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $181K 37 Open
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? $85K 11 Open
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed