Polymarket market · Other
Kansas State vs. Arizona State
Resolved: Arizona State won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $130K on this market since Oct 24, 53% of their buying on Arizona State. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 3.4¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Arizona State won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$35K and 2 lost −$56K: −$21K between them. Biggest win: Corrupt-Poisoning, +$17K on Arizona State. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$53K on Kansas State.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Kansas State @ 50¢ | $65K | — | −$53K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
453 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arizona State @ 65¢ | $31K | — | +$17K |
| Silky-Geometry
273 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arizona State @ 49¢ | $11K | — | +$12K |
| 0xe015…6ffd
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arizona State @ 66¢ | $9.3K | — | +$4.8K |
| Scary-Fannypack
226 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arizona State @ 79¢ | $5.9K | — | +$1.5K |
| Imaginary-Gallery
340 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arizona State @ 76¢ | $2.8K | $2.3K | — |
| 0x4488…e319
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Kansas State @ 52¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
Where the whale money went
-
Arizona State won$68K53% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $2.3K sold
-
Kansas State lost$60K47% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M vs. Alabama | $277K | 10 | Won: Alabama | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | $220K | 31 | Open | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $1.15M | 122 | Open | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | $102K | 27 | Open | |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina | $117K | 20 | Won: South Carolina | |
| Michigan State vs. UCLA | $197K | 11 | Won: UCLA | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $181K | 37 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $85K | 11 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?