Polymarket market · Other

Michigan vs. Minnesota

Resolved: Minnesota won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $144K into this market since Oct 3, 74% of their buying on Minnesota. Minnesota won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$107K and 5 lost −$10K: +$97K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shoddy-Harmonise
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 45¢ $35K — +$43K
Corrupt-Poisoning
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 47¢ $31K — +$15K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
125 settled bets Beat the odds*
Michigan @ 67¢ $30K — +$11K
Scary-Fannypack
123 settled bets Beat the odds*
Minnesota @ 68¢ $9.8K — +$4.6K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 44¢ $9.7K — +$12K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 46¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Normal-Check
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 54¢ $4.1K — +$3.5K
Hateful-Chord
166 settled bets Beat the odds*
Minnesota @ 32¢ $3.9K — +$8.4K
Hollow-Filing
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 69¢ $3.0K — +$1.3K
Polite-Age
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 54¢ $3.0K — +$2.6K
Forked-Puffin
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 51¢ $2.2K — +$2.1K
Hoarse-Atom
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 42¢ $2.1K — +$2.9K
General-Otter
31 settled bets Worse than the odds
Michigan @ 68¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Exhausted-Frosting
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 69¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Acrobatic-Baggage
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 47¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Big-Hearted-Scalp
12 settled bets Too few bets
Michigan @ 50¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Minnesota won
    $107K
    74% of whale buying · 11 buyers
  2. Michigan lost
    $37K
    26% of whale buying · 7 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
UCF vs. Houston $123K 9 Won: Houston
Alabama vs. Mississippi State $591K 27 Won: Alabama
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $415K 47 Won: Yes
West Virginia vs. Iowa State $108K 5 Won: Iowa State
Navy vs. Air Force $66K 5 Won: Air Force
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $129K 9 Won: FURIA
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $275K 38 Won: Natus Vincere
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $63K 15 Won: Natus Vincere
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed