Acrobatic-Baggage
0x5331121e9f2f206d8c06ae6235761b1a3f8d3672
Acrobatic-Baggage: −$2.2K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 29%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.2K
return −9.0%
Settled bets
18
$24K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 29%–71%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$922
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY LSU
@ 55¢
LSU vs. Kentucky |
LSU vs. Kentucky | $1.8K |
| Oct 11 | BUY LSU
@ 55¢
LSU vs. Kentucky |
LSU vs. Kentucky | $1.8K |
| Oct 10 | BUY
@ 59¢
LSU vs. Kentucky AND Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt |
LSU vs. Kentucky AND Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt | $2.4K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Alabama
@ 55¢
Georgia vs. Alabama |
Georgia vs. Alabama | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Texas A&M
@ 52¢
Spread: Missouri (-3.5) |
Spread: Missouri (-3.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 53¢
Spread: Washington (-8.5) AND Spread: Louisville (-10.5) |
Spread: Washington (-8.5) AND Spread: Louisville (-10.5) | $1.7K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 43¢
George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown |
George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Coco Gauff
@ 49¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.