Polymarket market · Other

James Madison vs. San Diego State

Resolved: James Madison won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $98K into this market since Sep 19, 57% of their buying on James Madison. James Madison won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$12K and 7 lost −$36K: −$24K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xe015…6ffd
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck
James Madison @ 81¢ $45K — +$11K
Corrupt-Poisoning
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
James Madison @ 58¢ $14K — −$4.5K
Important-Dissemination-Booking
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego State @ 55¢ $11K — −$11K
Careful-Gazebo
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego State @ 55¢ $9.5K — −$9.5K
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego State @ 55¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
James Madison @ 45¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
James Madison @ 93¢ $3.1K — −$1.3K
Dull-Microlending
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego State @ 19¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Forked-Puffin
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
James Madison @ 47¢ $1.4K — +$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. James Madison won
    $54K
    57% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $3.0K sold
  2. San Diego State lost
    $27K
    29% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. San Diego State lost
    $13K
    14% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed