Dull-Microlending
0x9cf0b5a80535cc91768214ade4117e41bbf38b2b
Dull-Microlending: −$4.4K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 46%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.4K
return −9.2%
Settled bets
26
$47K staked
Won
65.4%
95% range 46%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$470
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 95¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Hubert Hurkacz
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov |
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Iva Jovic
@ 87¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Harriet Dart |
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Harriet Dart | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
@ 95¢
Jingshan: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Aliona Falei |
Jingshan: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Aliona Falei | $2.9K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Teodora Kostovic
@ 97¢
Ankara: Teodora Kostovic vs Fangran Tian |
Ankara: Teodora Kostovic vs Fangran Tian | $1.1K |
| Sep 25 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 89¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $2.7K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Las Vegas Aces
@ 97¢
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury |
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | $2.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Alexandra Eala
@ 91¢
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala |
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.