Polymarket market · Crypto

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Resolved: Up won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 23, 100% of their buying on Up. Up won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$10K and 0 lost $0: +$10K between them. Biggest win: Unkempt-Penicillin, +$5.4K on Up.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xd33d…8489
2 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 98¢ $22K — +$440
Young-Saw-Wildlife
8 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 98¢ $5.9K — +$120
Unkempt-Penicillin
5 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 49¢ $5.3K — +$5.4K
Stimulating-Power
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 98¢ $4.1K — +$84
Elated-Lentil
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 98¢ $3.9K — +$80
Warlike-Fallingout
1,561 settled bets Beat the odds*
Up @ 98¢ $3.4K — +$70
Haunting-Cheese
551 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 98¢ $3.0K — +$61
Caring-Memory
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 98¢ $2.9K — +$60
Caring-Kingfish
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 98¢ $2.9K — +$60
Miserly-Pound
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 98¢ $2.9K — +$60
Clean-Toreador
2 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 51¢ $2.6K — +$2.5K
Acrobatic-Lifetime
2 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 52¢ $1.3K — +$1.2K
Adventurous-Usher
3 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 98¢ $1.1K — +$22

Where the whale money went

  1. Up won
    $61K
    100% of whale buying · 13 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792825211).

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed