Young-Saw-Wildlife
Skill vs luck
Young-Saw-Wildlife on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 41%–93%) · profit +$211. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Young-Saw-Wildlife: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0e6be957dc8f4ff72d26ca6d1e750fece6013a4c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Young-Saw-Wildlife: +$211 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$26
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$185
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Up @ 98¢ | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Up @ 98¢ | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 23 | SELL India Women
@ 99.9¢
Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women |
Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women | $3.8K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Uganda
@ 98¢
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Gambia vs Uganda |
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Gambia vs Uganda | $1.3K |
| Oct 23 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23? | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22? | $2.2K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Up
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | $2.1K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Malaysia
@ 99.72¢
T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Malaysia vs China |
T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Malaysia vs China | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?