Acrobatic-Lifetime
Skill vs luck
Acrobatic-Lifetime on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$179. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Acrobatic-Lifetime: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9a4cbaf3ba914b38ca92cc968cb6104c002998d0. Data CC BY 4.0.
Acrobatic-Lifetime: +$179 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- −$1.0K
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Up @ 52¢ | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET ↗ | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Down
@ 62¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | $1.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?