Polymarket market · Crypto

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $55K into this market since Sep 17, 66% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$97 and 5 lost −$14K: −$14K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Plush-Dirt
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $10K — −$10K
0x2348…ec52
22 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $4.2K $5.5K —
Tender-Likelihood
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.66¢ $6.4K — −$1.7K
Superficial-Camp
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.74¢ $6.0K — +$16
Glorious-Dumbwaiter
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.3K —
Crooked-Noir
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.27¢ $3.7K — +$27
Kind-Scenery
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $3.2K — +$40
Perfect-Spyglass
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.5¢ $1.7K $1.5K −$83
Ambitious-Cicada
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.7¢ $2.0K — +$6
Jaded-Display
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.5¢ $1.7K — +$8
Ironclad-Herbs
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.5¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Criminal-Channel-Form
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Paltry-Blank
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Rectangular-Chatter
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $27K
    66% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $14K sold
  2. No lost
    $14K
    34% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17 to Sep 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed