Paltry-Blank
0x9473b1eb8e05690b820549b3098bbe86df3d3b20
Paltry-Blank: −$2.6K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.6K
return −6.0%
Settled bets
10
$42K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 49%–94%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$21
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$44
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | $1.9K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | $1.6K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | $30K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.