Glorious-Dumbwaiter
0x56a5e9377b37141a148ca391914752414053b7d9
Glorious-Dumbwaiter: −$780 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$780
return −8.2%
Settled bets
5
$9.5K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$12
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$792
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? | $4.3K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 84¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | $4.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13? | $3.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24? | $2.0K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Yes
@ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22? | $2.0K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21? | $2.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.