Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $98K into this market since Aug 20, 54% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$12K and 5 lost −$23K: −$12K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Apprehensive-Breakdown
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $48K — −$6.2K
Hideous-Leg
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 36¢ $13K — −$13K
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 53¢ $8.7K — +$7.6K
0xf705…3ca7
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $1.9K $2.8K —
Impish-Revenge
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Plump-Chandelier
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Previous-Jaguar
15 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 63¢ $2.2K — +$1.3K
0xbca5…8727
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 39¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Merry-Codling
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Well-To-Do-Code
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Frozen-Antler
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $1.5K — +$827
Plush-Scorpion
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 67¢ $1.4K — +$676
Several-Floor
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Energetic-Producer
14 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 47¢ $1.1K — +$1.3K
New-Hammock
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Treasured-Monitoring-Jade
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 59¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $44K
    54% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $9.5K sold
  2. No lost
    $37K
    45% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $5.9K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $1.1K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? $99K 21 Won: Yes
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? $70K 12 Won: Yes
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? $74K 11 Won: Yes
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? $54K 6 Won: Yes
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? $54K 5 Won: Yes
Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee $88K 11 Won: Middle Tennessee
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $286K 35 Won: No
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $58K 5 Won: No
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed