Superficial-Camp
0xdd1cdb2e51b29896fc57030ec5a3e08f274ae2d3
Superficial-Camp: +$207 on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 87%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$207
return +0.3%
Settled bets
26
$84K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 87%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$93
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$62
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$52
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Iowa
@ 99.9¢
Iowa vs. Washington |
Iowa vs. Washington | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9? | $6.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.04¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Kraken
@ 99.9¢
Flames vs. Kraken |
Flames vs. Kraken | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99.64¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5? | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Alabama
@ 99.9¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State |
Alabama vs. Mississippi State | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Northwestern
@ 99.9¢
Penn State vs. Northwestern |
Penn State vs. Northwestern | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Northwestern
@ 99.86¢
Penn State vs. Northwestern |
Penn State vs. Northwestern | $4.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.