Crooked-Noir
0x4ee29e4e7d4c380babeae5e22e5c02400c2246e1
Crooked-Noir: +$1.8K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 82%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.8K
return +6.9%
Settled bets
17
$27K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 82%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$310
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$15
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on September 21? |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on September 21? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20? | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | $2.2K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | $1.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99.25¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | $2.4K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 99.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | $2.2K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 16? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 16? | $1.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 17? |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 17? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.