Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales put $99K into this market since Sep 2, 80% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$12K and 14 lost −$41K: −$30K between them.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $8.5K $12K —
Impressive-Steak
392 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 69¢ $14K — −$11K
0x00c8…9ccd
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $1.7K $10K —
Well-To-Do-Sanctity
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $4.6K $7.2K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 46¢ $5.3K — −$2.6K
Honest-Building
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 58¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Sparse-Recollection
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 34¢ $4.3K — +$8.4K
Cloudy-Leaker
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 84¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Digital-Academy
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 35¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Scared-Behest
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 56¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Frozen-Antler
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 41¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Peaceful-Cheque
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Feisty-Jelly
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 70¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Useless-Number
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 55¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Rigid-Allocation
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 84¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Attractive-Lawyer
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
United-Leather
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Frank-Watchmaker-Struggle
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 77¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Aching-Defender
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Ignorant-Wool-Snorer
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 5¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Unruly-Underclothes
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 23¢ $1.0K — +$3.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $54K
    80% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $23K sold
  2. Yes won
    $14K
    20% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $8.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2 to Sep 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed