Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $74K into this market since Sep 2, 61% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$6.3K and 1 lost −$11K: −$5.2K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Impressive-Steak
392 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 72¢ $37K — −$11K
Apprehensive-Breakdown
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 61¢ $11K — +$4.4K
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $2.2K $6.2K —
Whispered-Copper
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 57¢ $2.2K $3.6K —
United-Configuration
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Rusty-Hike-Phenotype
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Well-To-Do-Sanctity
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 52¢ $2.1K — +$1.9K
Hot-Cut
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
0xd2c4…7244
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Cheerful-Parade
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Imaginary-Proliferation-Oeuvre
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $33K
    61% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $17K sold
  2. No lost
    $22K
    39% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2 to Sep 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed