Impractical-Devastation
Skill vs luck
Impractical-Devastation on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 47%–91%) · profit +$616. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Impractical-Devastation: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4cdb2582b32604b89b1fbd71b58898de48a3172c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Impractical-Devastation: +$616 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 47%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$333
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- +$277
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$11
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$18
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | $1.0K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5? | $1.3K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4? | $1.2K |
| Nov 1 | BUY No @ 98¢ | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? ↗ | $4.6K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | $1.4K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 95¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24? | $1.2K |
| Oct 18 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.