Soft-Platform
0x2858dff9853b7d063d3754909dcd35a92958119d
Soft-Platform: +$3.2K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 85% (95% range 70%–94%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.2K
return +7.6%
Settled bets
34
$43K staked
Won
85.3%
95% range 70%–94%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$545
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.8K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? | $1.7K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10? | $1.7K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | $1.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9? | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8? | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Yes
@ 88¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.