0xd4c2…1e3a

0xd4c2de19075bfd9afd820adaf4e7d3dbd41b1e3a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0xd4c2…1e3a: −$521 on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 6%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$521
return −9.6%
Settled bets
10
$5.4K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 6%–51%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$521
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 2 SELL Denis Shapovalov @ 87¢
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche $1.4K
Sep 2 SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz $3.8K
Sep 2 BUY Ben Shelton @ 89¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz $1.3K
Sep 2 BUY Ben Shelton @ 85¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz $2.0K
Sep 2 SELL Arthur Rinderknech @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech
US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech $3.3K
Sep 2 SELL Metizport @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Metizport (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Metizport (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Playoffs $2.8K
Sep 2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 78¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 2 SELL MIBR @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed