Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved: Carlos Alcaraz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $107K on this market since Oct 27, 90% of their buying on Carlos Alcaraz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Carlos Alcaraz won, with 90% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$4.2K and 3 lost −$4.2K: +$65 between them. Biggest win: Angelic-Paint, +$1.8K on Carlos Alcaraz. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$3.7K on Karen Khachanov.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splendid-Armour-Knee
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $31K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,204 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢ | $17K | — | −$297 |
| Naughty-Tab
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 89¢ | $5.7K | $5.2K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,154 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 94¢ | $8.4K | — | +$526 |
| Plain-Apparatus-Acre
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.3K | — |
| Wrathful-Row
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢ | $1.5K | $5.5K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,996 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ | $6.3K | — | +$477 |
| Glaring-Salt
2,118 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karen Khachanov @ 19¢ | $3.7K | — | −$3.7K |
| Prestigious-Produce
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 95¢ | $1.9K | $1.8K | −$149 |
| Angelic-Paint
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 64¢ | $3.2K | — | +$1.8K |
| Giant-Window
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 79¢ | $2.5K | — | +$665 |
| Weighty-Alluvium
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 81¢ | $1.9K | — | +$435 |
| Overcooked-Recorder
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Bouncy-Twister
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 81¢ | $1.4K | — | +$339 |
Where the whale money went
-
Carlos Alcaraz won$48K90% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $52K sold
-
Karen Khachanov lost$5.4K10% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse | $92K | 12 | Won: Adrian Mannarino | |
| Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone | $118K | 3 | Won: Stefan Kozlov | |
| Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo | $53K | 11 | Won: Cameron Norrie | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | $57K | 16 | Won: Ben Shelton | |
| Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew | $152K | 10 | Won: Xinran Sun | |
| Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce | $100K | 19 | Won: Alexander Zverev | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs | $91K | 18 | Won: Hubert Hurkacz | |
| Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu | $107K | 12 | Won: Claire Liu |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?