Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
Resolved: Cameron Norrie won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $53K on this market since Oct 27, 63% of their buying on Francisco Cerundolo. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Cameron Norrie won, with 37% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$13K and 4 lost −$29K: −$15K between them. Biggest win: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, +$5.8K on Cameron Norrie. Biggest loss: Snappy-Basketball, −$23K on Francisco Cerundolo.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Basketball
352 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Francisco Cerundolo @ 69¢ | $23K | — | −$23K |
| Impartial-Greens-Hydrolyse
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.9K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,204 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cameron Norrie @ 75¢ | $5.7K | — | +$1.9K |
| Grateful-Chest
296 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cameron Norrie @ 60¢ | $4.2K | — | +$2.8K |
| Secret-Evaluator
116 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cameron Norrie @ 60¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$533 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,434 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cameron Norrie @ 34¢ | $3.0K | — | +$5.8K |
| Royal-Gland
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francisco Cerundolo @ 64¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Grandiose-Accountant-Stallion
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Francisco Cerundolo @ 67¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Favorable-Neuron
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francisco Cerundolo @ 70¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Tinted-Text
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cameron Norrie @ 60¢ | $1.2K | — | +$804 |
| 0x7750…a3f3
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cameron Norrie @ 40¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
Francisco Cerundolo lost$29K63% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Cameron Norrie won$17K37% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $7.7K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone | $118K | 3 | Won: Stefan Kozlov | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | $57K | 16 | Won: Ben Shelton | |
| Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce | $100K | 19 | Won: Alexander Zverev | |
| Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse | $92K | 12 | Won: Adrian Mannarino | |
| Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz | $107K | 14 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) | $94K | 8 | Won: Nets | |
| Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 | $179K | 7 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | $53K | 3 | Won: Knicks |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?