Polymarket market · Sports
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Resolved: Xinran Sun won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $152K on this market since Oct 27, 88% of their buying on Xinran Sun. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Xinran Sun won, with 88% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$7.6K and 1 lost −$8.1K: −$511 between them. Biggest win: Intentional-Bicycle, +$2.3K on Xinran Sun. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$8.1K on Mananchaya Sawangkaew.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale betsThe whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quixotic-Brow
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 68¢ | $39K | $83K | — |
| Substantial-Service
1,066 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew @ 28¢ | $8.1K | — | −$8.1K |
| Forked-Pricing
252 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 98¢ | $7.9K | — | +$182 |
| Lined-Liquid
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Xinran Sun @ 71¢ | $3.6K | — | +$1.5K |
| Oval-Maternity
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 66¢ | $3.3K | — | +$1.7K |
| Intentional-Bicycle
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Xinran Sun @ 47¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.3K |
| Disguised-Pasta-Title
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Venerated-Dozen
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 46¢ | $1.6K | — | +$1.8K |
| Experienced-War-Curl
29 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,275 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Xinran Sun @ 87¢ | $1.1K | — | +$163 |
Where the whale money went
-
Xinran Sun won$58K88% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $86K sold
-
Mananchaya Sawangkaew lost$8.1K12% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs | $91K | 18 | Won: Hubert Hurkacz | |
| Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu | $107K | 12 | Won: Claire Liu | |
| Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz | $107K | 14 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Pan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova | $79K | 5 | Won: Mia Pohankova | |
| Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse | $92K | 12 | Won: Adrian Mannarino | |
| Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets | $335K | 13 | Won: Dayana Yastremska | |
| Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova | $147K | 16 | Won: Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
| Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone | $118K | 3 | Won: Stefan Kozlov |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?