Polymarket market · Sports
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu
Resolved: Claire Liu won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $107K on this market since Oct 27, 53% of their buying on Antonia Ruzic. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.4¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Claire Liu won, with 47% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$14K and 6 lost −$21K: −$7.8K between them. Biggest win: Glum-Leading, +$12K on Claire Liu. Biggest loss: Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, −$8.6K on Antonia Ruzic.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dapper-Pub-Warmth
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Antonia Ruzic @ 71¢ | $20K | $8.1K | −$3.1K |
| Acceptable-Weather
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Claire Liu @ 38¢ | $5.2K | $10K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,204 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Antonia Ruzic @ 52¢ | $15K | — | −$2.9K |
| Glum-Leading
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Claire Liu @ 53¢ | $14K | — | +$12K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,275 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Antonia Ruzic @ 59¢ | $8.6K | — | −$8.6K |
| Sudden-Hide
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.1K | — |
| Pointed-Length
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Antonia Ruzic @ 68¢ | $5.0K | $1.7K | −$3.3K |
| Monstrous-Dew
489 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.0K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,996 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Claire Liu @ 61¢ | $2.1K | — | +$1.3K |
| Digital-Pamphlet
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Antonia Ruzic @ 50¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Punctual-Meantime-Tune
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Antonia Ruzic @ 53¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Skeletal-Coin
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Claire Liu @ 96¢ | $1.5K | — | +$62 |
Where the whale money went
-
Antonia Ruzic lost$40K53% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $17K sold
-
Claire Liu won$35K47% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $14K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova | $79K | 5 | Won: Mia Pohankova | |
| Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets | $335K | 13 | Won: Dayana Yastremska | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs | $91K | 18 | Won: Hubert Hurkacz | |
| Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova | $147K | 16 | Won: Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
| Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew | $152K | 10 | Won: Xinran Sun | |
| Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari | $187K | 23 | Won: Yulia Putintseva | |
| Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann | $91K | 5 | Won: Jil Teichmann | |
| Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz | $107K | 14 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?