Polymarket market · Sports
European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Resolved: Jan-Lennard Struff won · See it on Polymarket ↗
18 whales traded $144K on this market since Oct 24, 66% of their buying on Jan-Lennard Struff. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Jan-Lennard Struff won, with 66% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$30K and 7 lost −$21K: +$8.4K between them. Biggest win: Embellished-Lecture, +$19K on Jan-Lennard Struff. Biggest loss: Powerless-Savannah, −$7.3K on Arthur Fils.
The whales on this market
18 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Lecture
71 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 41¢ | $30K | $47K | +$19K |
| Meager-Flair-Wait
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $15K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,858 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Fils @ 70¢ | $9.1K | — | −$7.3K |
| Sudden-Battalion
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 57¢ | $1.1K | $7.8K | — |
| 0x02fd…104c
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 50¢ | $5.4K | — | +$5.4K |
| Stormy-Influence
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 47¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Tinted-Text
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.4K | — |
| Horrible-Recording
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 54¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Yellow-Tarragon-Trance
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Infantile-Oval
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| First-Sousaphone
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 57¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Villainous-Matrix
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Arthur Fils @ 42¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Lone-Stench
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 40¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Muted-Dearest
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 81¢ | $1.5K | — | +$352 |
| Menacing-Puzzle
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fils @ 95¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Important-Deed-Nestmate
23 settled bets Too few bets |
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 22¢ | $1.1K | — | +$4.0K |
| Sturdy-Overheard
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Jan-Lennard Struff @ 54¢ | $1.1K | — | +$920 |
| Dismal-Sousaphone
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Jan-Lennard Struff won$42K66% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $59K sold
-
Arthur Fils lost$22K34% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $21K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | $90K | 20 | Won: Yes | |
| UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) | $95K | 11 | Won: Aaron Pico | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | $950K | 36 | Won: No | |
| UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | $58K | 17 | Won: Loneer Kavanagh | |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | $233K | 7 | Won: No | |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | $163K | 28 | Won: Alexander Volkov | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | $662K | 40 | Won: Yes | |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) | $54K | 8 | Won: Hornets |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?