Menacing-Puzzle
0x3bcb8d716c157a8d7bbcb63a9bb11b0b3d10a2aa
Menacing-Puzzle: −$450 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$450
return −6.8%
Settled bets
4
$6.6K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$450
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Leylah Fernandez
@ 72¢
China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez |
China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Kamilla Rakhimova
@ 81¢
China Open: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Kamilla Rakhimova |
China Open: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Kamilla Rakhimova | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Roman Safiullin
@ 94¢
China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli |
China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli | $2.7K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Lucrezia Stefanini
@ 66¢
Adana: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Lucrezia Stefanini |
Adana: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Lucrezia Stefanini | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.