Polymarket market · Sports
UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)
Resolved: Aaron Pico won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $95K on this market since Oct 24, 54% of their buying on Losene Keita. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Aaron Pico won, with 46% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$12K and 4 lost −$20K: −$8.1K between them. Biggest win: Revolving-Harvest-Diffuse, +$11K on Aaron Pico. Biggest loss: Creepy-Flintlock, −$10K on Losene Keita.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwieldy-Collagen
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Losene Keita @ 45¢ | $16K | $14K | −$2.4K |
| Revolving-Harvest-Diffuse
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Aaron Pico @ 58¢ | $15K | $6.4K | +$11K |
| Female-Baker-Teenager
138 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aaron Pico @ 95¢ | $11K | — | +$591 |
| Creepy-Flintlock
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Losene Keita @ 43¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Harmless-Region
259 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aaron Pico @ 58¢ | $2.4K | $4.1K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Losene Keita @ 44¢ | $5.9K | — | −$5.9K |
| Deafening-Component
23 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
| Crowded-Acre
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Anguished-Clam
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Losene Keita @ 43¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Unfinished-Rebellion
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Vast-Dictator-Borrower
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Aaron Pico @ 58¢ | $1.2K | — | +$840 |
Where the whale money went
-
Losene Keita lost$34K54% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $14K sold
-
Aaron Pico won$29K46% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $18K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff | $144K | 18 | Won: Jan-Lennard Struff | |
| UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | $58K | 17 | Won: Loneer Kavanagh | |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | $90K | 20 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | $950K | 36 | Won: No | |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | $163K | 28 | Won: Alexander Volkov | |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | $233K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) | $54K | 8 | Won: Hornets | |
| UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | $236K | 50 | Won: Petr Yan |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?