Polymarket market · Sports

Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata

Resolved: Rinky Hijikata won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $112K into this market since Aug 25, 72% of their buying on Raphael Collignon. Rinky Hijikata won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$19K and 9 lost −$53K: −$34K between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Giving-Gossip-Honesty
6 settled bets Too few bets
Raphael Collignon @ 63¢ $25K — −$25K
Sore-Sneaker-Sombrero
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rinky Hijikata @ 53¢ $5.0K $16K —
Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
Raphael Collignon @ 64¢ $9.0K $3.1K —
Criminal-Meatball
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rinky Hijikata @ 45¢ $9.9K — +$12K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raphael Collignon @ 80¢ $9.0K — −$9.0K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rinky Hijikata @ 46¢ $5.6K — +$6.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raphael Collignon @ 68¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Raphael Collignon @ 62¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Impolite-Motel
11 settled bets Too few bets
Rinky Hijikata @ 47¢ $1.8K $1.3K −$484
Foolish-Cohort-Puritan
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Adept-Pouch
10 settled bets Too few bets
Raphael Collignon @ 65¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Specific-Operating
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raphael Collignon @ 72¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
0xe98c…8792
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raphael Collignon @ 60¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Raphael Collignon @ 66¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Reliable-Giggle
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Cloudy-Leaker
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rinky Hijikata @ 76¢ $1.3K — +$405
Giving-Wraparound
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Raphael Collignon lost
    $61K
    72% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. Rinky Hijikata won
    $24K
    28% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $27K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed