Giving-Gossip-Honesty

0x9a40780a93b6a5ef8873258c9377bb51677a840e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Giving-Gossip-Honesty: −$25K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$25K
return −61.0%
Settled bets
6
$41K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$25K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$11
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 8 BUY Dplus KIA Challengers @ 99¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner $1.1K
Aug 25 BUY Raphael Collignon @ 63¢
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata $25K
Aug 22 SELL TEAM VISION @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $12K
Aug 22 BUY Boston Red Sox @ 99.85¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox $4.4K
Aug 21 BUY Over @ 99.9¢
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 $7.7K
Aug 21 BUY Maryville University @ 99.9¢
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner $2.7K
Aug 20 BUY Kansas City Royals @ 99.9¢
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals $1.4K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed