Adept-Pouch

0x56991cfb6c8062e5a06ae10ccf240463bdfac4b4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Adept-Pouch: −$5.5K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–28%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.5K
return −123.3%
Settled bets
10
$4.5K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–28%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$5.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$18
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$250
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 25 SELL Up @ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET $1.5K
Sep 24 SELL Up @ 81¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET $1.1K
Sep 14 SELL Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET $1.7K
Sep 2 SELL Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET $1.3K
Aug 27 SELL Down @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET $1.2K
Aug 26 SELL Up @ 98¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET $1.1K
Aug 26 BUY Phoenix Mercury @ 47¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury $1.5K
Aug 25 BUY Raphael Collignon @ 63¢
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed