Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima

Resolved: Alexander Bublik won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $92K into this market since Oct 10, 79% of their buying on Brandon Nakashima. Alexander Bublik won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$2.5K and 5 lost −$20K: −$18K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Quixotic-Brow
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $57K —
Grateful-Chest
235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 53¢ $8.1K — −$8.1K
Dapper-Dessert-Proofreader
10 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 53¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Anxious-Shorts
25 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Naughty-Tab
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 41¢ $1.2K $2.7K —
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.5K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,102 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alexander Bublik @ 57¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Powerless-Savannah
2,488 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 72¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Horrible-Recording
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 47¢ $2.2K — +$2.5K
Lone-Browsing-Curler
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,639 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 54¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Brandon Nakashima lost
    $19K
    79% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.6K sold
  2. Alexander Bublik lost
    $2.9K
    12% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Alexander Bublik won
    $2.2K
    9% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $67K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva $131K 15 Won: Qinwen Zheng
Spread: Titans (-3.5) $66K 3 Won: Texans
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? $401K 10 Won: No
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? $108K 7 Won: No
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik $157K 10 Won: Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe $106K 25 Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Spread: Commanders (-3.5) $161K 9 Won: Giants
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 $172K 3 Won: Under
About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed