Playful-Circulation
0x92e53057ef2872722a53fe807245bd387e1defee
Playful-Circulation: −$281 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$281
return −1.1%
Settled bets
5
$26K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 78¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $6.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Rams
@ 55¢
Spread: Rams (-6.5) |
Spread: Rams (-6.5) | $1.8K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $1.8K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $8.3K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $1.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | $16K |
| Aug 24 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.