0x3448…d09b
0x3448d478d5164a84d05469913888a7d5d67fd09b
0x3448…d09b: +$4.4K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$4.4K
return +24.8%
Settled bets
4
$18K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$366
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$4.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,012 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No @ 87¢ | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $7.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-12? |
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-12? | $1.5K |
| Sep 11 | SELL No @ 18¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $5.7K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No @ 47¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Aug 30 | BUY No @ 53¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY No @ 54¢ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Yes @ 73¢ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? ↗ | $9.9K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.