Easy-Going-Plot
Skill vs luck
Easy-Going-Plot on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Easy-Going-Plot: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x748dd437be438f88565ac7a74b2391e79eb426e2. Data CC BY 4.0.
Easy-Going-Plot: −$1 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 88¢ | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Central Coast Mariners FC
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5) | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?