Polymarket market · Crypto

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $51K on this market since Sep 17, 64% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 17.5¢ more per share, with 54% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Opulent-Right
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 35¢ $25K $7.0K
Few-Prevention
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 45¢ $6.1K —
Embarrassed-Root
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 52¢ $1.5K $3.8K
Accurate-Spirit
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.2K
Enraged-Invite
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
Ragged-Thongs
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 54¢ $1.4K —
0xb4ef…682f
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $22K
    64% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $5.7K sold
  2. Yes
    $12K
    36% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $8.1K sold
  3. No
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $3.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793170821).

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed