Digital-Academy

0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Digital-Academy: −$13K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 25%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$13K
return −36.0%
Settled bets
24
$35K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 25%–61%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$4.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$7.1K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY @ 39¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.9K
Oct 5 BUY @ 36¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.9K
Oct 4 BUY No @ 78¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $6.1K
Oct 4 BUY LYON @ 55¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY Cloud9 @ 52¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 30 BUY T1 Academy @ 75¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner $2.2K
Sep 27 BUY No @ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $4.3K
Sep 24 SELL @ 99.5¢
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A AND LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B AND LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A AND LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B AND LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A $1.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed