Pristine-Screenwriting-Builder
Skill vs luck
Pristine-Screenwriting-Builder on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Pristine-Screenwriting-Builder: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4d6e3a0404b4c2455090d2a2f05d816edcedf977. Data CC BY 4.0.
Pristine-Screenwriting-Builder: −$1.0K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY No
@ 35¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | $2.8K |
| Oct 27 | SELL No @ 60¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY No @ 47¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 16 | BUY No
@ 11¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? | $1.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY No @ 16¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? ↗ | $1.9K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?