Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales put $191K into this market since Aug 20, 99% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 18 made +$1.1K and 1 lost −$1.8K: −$696 between them.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $47K $9.9K −$1.8K
0x4a0b…7a11
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $24K — +$246
Quizzical-Unique
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $8.0K $8.0K +$1
Evil-Pint
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $2.0K $13K —
Frightened-Trouble
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $12K — +$227
Embellished-Observatory
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $11K — +$151
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $10K — +$10
Nervous-Overload
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.6¢ $6.8K — +$27
Delirious-Weapon
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.09¢ $6.1K — +$56
Peaceful-Cheque
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.0K —
That-Fabric
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $5.0K — +$56
Hasty-Saucer
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $4.9K — +$76
Ambitious-Cicada
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $3.0K — +$45
Incomplete-Wealth
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.2¢ $2.5K — +$20
Cloudy-Quiver
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $2.0K — +$32
Miserly-Snob
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $2.0K — +$28
Crooked-Tabernacle
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $1.7K — +$41
Conscious-Alley
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $1.7K — +$41
Excitable-Bride
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.39¢ $1.6K — +$10
Odd-Cannon
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.5¢ $1.2K — +$6
Everlasting-Redirect
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $1.1K — +$11

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $152K
    99% of whale buying · 20 buyers · $36K sold
  2. No lost
    $2.2K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed