Quizzical-Unique

0x04cf3a55f559bd617163a73cfc460e8954a75224

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Quizzical-Unique: +$612 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$612
return +1.4%
Settled bets
6
$44K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$154
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$463
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$6
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? $10K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? $2.0K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? $10K
Sep 26 SELL No @ 99.43¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? $1.0K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 98¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? $9.3K
Sep 15 BUY No @ 98¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? $5.0K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 98¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? $10K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed