Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $72K into this market since Aug 21, 94% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$1.9K and 1 lost −$3.3K: −$1.4K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Frequent-Cornmeal
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $12K $9.4K +$470
Peaceful-Cheque
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 94¢ $5.0K $5.1K —
Forthright-Kingfish
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $7.8K — +$934
Selfish-Fannypack
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $3.5K — +$17
Tame-Carol
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.61¢ $3.4K — +$13
Safe-Brother
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.77¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Tan-Botany
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.6¢ $3.3K — +$13
Warmhearted-Dill
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.6¢ $3.2K — +$13
Frozen-Antler
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 96¢ $2.8K — +$111
Shabby-Surprise
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $2.8K — +$14
Impressive-Steak
392 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $2.8K — +$240
Ignorant-Front
48 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 96¢ $2.4K — +$100
Standard-Acupuncture
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Annual-Former-Survivor
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Venerated-Icing
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $49K
    94% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $19K sold
  2. No lost
    $3.3K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Yes lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Aug 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed