Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $55K into this market since Aug 21, 97% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$4.5K and 1 lost −$1.0K: +$3.5K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Impressive-Steak
399 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 84¢ $13K — +$2.4K
0xf705…3ca7
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.0K —
Finished-Freezer
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.8K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 78¢ $6.4K — +$1.8K
Bouncy-Ramen
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $5.7K — +$60
Venerated-Icing
14 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.27¢ $4.0K — +$30
Worse-Haunt
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $2.3K — +$12
Repentant-Developer
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $2.1K — +$111
Indelible-Roast
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Rigid-Armor
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $1.9K — +$101
Fumbling-Ear
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.1¢ $1.1K — +$10
0xdbd5…cba7
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 34¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $37K
    97% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $18K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $1.0K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? $87K 17 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? $116K 11 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? $63K 11 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? $82K 23 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? $51K 10 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? $100K 14 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? $133K 26 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? $191K 21 Won: No
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed