Delirious-Weapon
0x9edeafe62a196437440a97842b2e36d366c68bb4
Delirious-Weapon: −$2.0K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.0K
return −6.3%
Settled bets
11
$31K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 52%–95%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$50
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$305
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3? | $5.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | $9.6K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | $2.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.66¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | $4.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.49¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | $2.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 99.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | $1.1K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | $4.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.