Miserly-Snob

0x891809ccbe713b313eb3de55915f0235e75b8824

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Miserly-Snob: −$2.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.0K
return −27.6%
Settled bets
5
$7.1K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$25
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$18
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 28 BUY Under @ 99¢
Japan vs. Venezuela: O/U 4.5
Japan vs. Venezuela: O/U 4.5 $2.0K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $1.6K
Sep 5 BUY Under @ 99¢
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5 $1.5K
Aug 26 SELL No @ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? $1.5K
Aug 22 BUY No @ 99¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? $2.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed