Soft-Certainty-Senate
0xd9dea9ab6fa1576671be927da60157864102ec34
Soft-Certainty-Senate: +$2.2K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.2K
return +77.4%
Settled bets
8
$2.8K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 7%–59%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$2.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | SELL 100 Thieves
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Oct 11 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 52¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Hawks
@ 99.9¢
Hawks vs. Pacers |
Hawks vs. Pacers | $2.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Wizards
@ 99.9¢
Wizards vs. Knicks |
Wizards vs. Knicks | $2.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Heat
@ 99.9¢
Pelicans vs. Heat |
Pelicans vs. Heat | $1.4K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 61¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL LOUD
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.