0xff7c…b233

0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0xff7c…b233: +$2.8K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.8K
return +14.7%
Settled bets
9
$19K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$253
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$160
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 SELL No @ 77¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 20¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? $1.0K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 91¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? $1.6K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 80¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? $1.5K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 22¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $2.3K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 91¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? $2.1K
Sep 17 BUY Yes @ 61¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? $2.2K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 89¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed