Glaring-Inspiration
0x62e92bb03aa7e09c9f0bf000a364d61a1a63fbb9
Glaring-Inspiration: +$284 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$284
return +4.5%
Settled bets
4
$6.4K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$66
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$219
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $4.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $4.1K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Yes
@ 99.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.6K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29? | $1.1K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21? | $3.6K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.