Giving-Petticoat

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Giving-Petticoat: +$651 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$651
return +9.9%
Settled bets
5
$6.6K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$3.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 5¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 74¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? $1.7K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 21¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $1.2K
Oct 1 SELL No @ 70¢
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? $2.8K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 64¢
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? $2.3K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 63¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? $3.0K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 48¢
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? $2.6K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 56¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $5.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed