Worldly-Clam
Skill vs luck
Worldly-Clam on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$307. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Worldly-Clam: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x03efc77d6b0ad8f4420affc881eeffb95f5bf729. Data CC BY 4.0.
Worldly-Clam: +$307 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$307
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Yes @ 88¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? |
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | $1.2K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Yes @ 76¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $1.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?